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Wednesday, May 15, 2019
San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues
The simulations disagree with the Vegas odds who have the Sharks as betting underdogs. They are slight favorites in simulations. The projected score is Sharks 3.1 and Blues 2.8, with San Jose winning 56% of the latest sims. The Blues are -141 favorites to win which has an implied probability of 59 percent. The moneyline has moved from its opening value which indicates people are wagering more money on the Blues to win. The Sharks are up in this matchup recently going 5-3. They have the large edge in units at +111 to -218. The average moneyline for the Sharks was -74 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games, the Sharks averaged 2.8 and the Blues 2.2 goals.
|EXPECTATIONS||ODDS o5.5||VEGAS||PROJ||ML%||SIM%||PAST H2H|
|San Jose Sharks||+120||2.6||3.1||44%||56%||2.8 (5 Wins)|
|St. Louis Blues||-141||2.9||2.8||56%||44%||2.2 (3 Wins)|
VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups
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