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Kevin Durant is the number #2 ranked small forward and the #7 ranked player overall. His elite ranking is helped by his higher games played (79). Based on average fantasy points he is the #3 small forward. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 49.1 FPs in his first 26 games and 38.3 FP in his final 27 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Durant when he 'goes off' is 73 fantasy points (his average is 42.9FPs) with a floor of 20 points.

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The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 3 seasons. There was not a major change in usage or minutes per game over this time period.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points339329502698
FP Average42.943.443.5
Regular Season GP796862


He has averaged 134 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 4 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL134 FP per Week64
Week 1150 (3 games 50 per game)
Week 2191 (4 games 47.8 per game)+56.6
Week 3129 (3 games 43 per game)
Week 4132 (3 games 44 per game)
Week 5218 (5 games 43.6 per game)+83.6
Week 6164 (3 games 54.7 per game)+29.6
Week 7194 (3 games 64.7 per game)+59.6
Week 8123 (3 games 41 per game)
Week 9129 (3 games 43 per game)
Week 10186 (4 games 46.5 per game)+51.6
Week 11133 (3 games 44.3 per game)
Week 12122 (3 games 40.7 per game)
Week 13121 (3 games 40.3 per game)
Week 14137 (3 games 45.7 per game)
Week 15115 (3 games 38.3 per game)
Week 16114 (3 games 38 per game)
Week 17134 (3 games 44.7 per game)
Week 1886 (2 games 43 per game)-48.4
Week 1989 (2 games 44.5 per game)-45.4
Week 20124 (3 games 41.3 per game)
Week 2196 (3 games 32 per game)-38.4
Week 23175 (5 games 35 per game)+40.6
Week 24123 (3 games 41 per game)
Week 25140 (4 games 35 per game)
Week 2634 (1 games)-100.4


He averaged 43.8 FD points and 46.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 33 and on FanDuel it was 30.5 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 61 fantasy points and 60.5 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All43.8 ($10.2K)15 G, 19 B46.1 ($9.7K)15 G, 20 B
4/10 @MEM33 ($8.6K)-10.832 ($8.5K)-14.1
4/7 LAC35.5 ($9K)--35.5 ($8.8K)-10.6
4/5 CLE36 ($9.5K)--36.8 ($8.7K)-9.3
4/4 @LAL27 ($9.8K)-16.833 ($8.7K)-13.1
4/2 DEN39 ($9.6K)--38.8 ($8.8K)--
3/31 CHA23.5 ($10.1K)-20.326 ($9.1K)-20.1
3/29 @MIN48.5 ($9.5K)--53.5 ($8.8K)--
3/27 @MEM48.5 ($9.4K)--50.2 ($8.7K)--
3/24 DET36.5 ($9.6K)--39.8 ($8.9K)--
3/23 DAL35 ($9.6K)-8.836.8 ($9.1K)-9.3
3/21 IND35 ($9.3K)-8.834.2 ($9.1K)-11.9
3/19 @MIN33.5 ($9.5K)-10.335.5 ($8.9K)-10.6
3/18 @SA30.5 ($9.6K)-13.333.2 ($8.8K)-12.9
3/10 PHO34.5 ($10K)-9.335 ($9.2K)-11.1
3/8 DEN45 ($9.2K)--45 ($8.9K)--
3/5 BOS21 ($9.7K)-22.823 ($9.1K)-23.1
3/2 @PHI42.5 ($9.5K)--46.8 ($9.2K)--
2/27 @MIA45.5 ($9.6K)--47.2 ($9.2K)--
2/25 @CHA35 ($10K)-8.838.2 ($9.4K)--
2/23 HOU41.5 ($10.4K)--43 ($9.4K)--
2/21 SAC64 ($10.2K)+20.260.2 ($9.3K)+14.1
2/13 @POR47 ($9.9K)--47 ($9.3K)--
2/12 UTA40.5 ($9.9K)--41.5 ($9.1K)--
2/10 MIA51 ($9.7K)--53.5 ($9.1K)--
2/8 @PHO29.5 ($9.8K)-14.334 ($9.1K)-12.1
2/6 SA53.5 ($9.6K)+9.754 ($9.3K)--
2/2 LAL40.5 ($9.4K)--44.2 ($9.3K)--
1/31 PHI40 ($9.4K)--40 ($9.1K)--
1/28 @IND26.5 ($9.8K)-17.329.2 ($9.4K)-16.9
1/26 @BOS48.5 ($9.4K)--51.2 ($9.2K)--
1/24 @WAS41.5 ($9.5K)--39.5 ($9K)--
1/21 @LAL39 ($10.2K)--39 ($9.5K)--
1/18 @LAC45.5 ($10.6K)--46.8 ($10.1K)--
1/16 NO57 ($10.4K)+13.263.2 ($9.8K)+17.1
1/15 @DEN45 ($10.3K)--47 ($9.7K)--
1/13 @DAL49.5 ($10K)--50.2 ($9.6K)--
1/11 CHI38.5 ($10.1K)--39 ($9.8K)--
1/8 NY39 ($10.3K)--42.5 ($10.1K)--
1/5 @SAC52.5 ($10K)--53.8 ($9.4K)--
1/3 HOU38.5 ($10.1K)--40.8 ($9.2K)--
12/31 @PHO29 ($10.5K)-14.833 ($9.7K)-13.1
12/29 @POR34.5 ($10.7K)-9.336 ($9.7K)-10.1
12/27 POR56.5 ($10.5K)+12.763.5 ($9.3K)+17.4
12/25 LAL40.5 ($10.4K)--43.2 ($9.3K)--
12/23 LAC65.5 ($9.7K)+21.768 ($9.4K)+21.9
12/22 DAL51 ($9.5K)--58.5 ($9.2K)+12.4
12/19 @UTA38 ($9.2K)--42.2 ($9.4K)--
12/17 MEM37.5 ($10K)--37.8 ($9.7K)--
12/14 @SAC49 ($10K)--55 ($10.3K)--
12/12 TOR39.5 ($10.2K)--44.8 ($9.6K)--
12/10 MIN38.5 ($10.3K)--39.8 ($10.1K)--
12/7 @MIL24 ($10.6K)-19.829 ($10.3K)-17.1
12/5 @CLE53.5 ($10.8K)+9.758.5 ($10.4K)+12.4
12/3 @ATL46 ($11K)--48.2 ($10.9K)--
12/1 @DET48.5 ($11.7K)--49.5 ($10.8K)--
11/29 @TOR70 ($11.5K)+26.276.8 ($11K)+30.7
11/26 ORL76.5 ($11.5K)+32.778 ($10.9K)+31.9
11/24 SAC66.5 ($10.8K)+22.773.8 ($10.6K)+27.7
11/23 POR60.5 ($10.5K)+16.761 ($10.4K)+14.9
11/21 OKC48.5 ($10.7K)--54 ($10.6K)--
11/18 @SA51 ($11.5K)--54 ($10.7K)--
11/17 @DAL39.5 ($11.4K)--41.5 ($10.6K)--
11/15 @HOU29 ($11.8K)-14.830.2 ($11.1K)-15.9
11/13 ATL44.5 ($11.8K)--45 ($11.2K)--
11/12 @LAC64 ($11.3K)+20.271.2 ($11K)+25.1
11/10 BKN56.5 ($11.2K)+12.757.8 ($10.7K)+11.7
11/8 MIL32.5 ($10.8K)-11.336.2 ($10.2K)-9.9
11/5 MEM40 ($10.7K)--40.5 ($10.1K)--
11/2 MIN49.5 ($10.7K)--56.8 ($9.9K)+10.7
10/31 NO45 ($10.8K)--46.2 ($9.6K)--
10/29 @CHI35 ($10.6K)-8.834.2 ($10.4K)-11.9
10/28 @BKN54 ($10.2K)+10.256.5+10.4
10/26 @NY54.5 ($9.9K)+10.760.8 ($10.1K)+14.7
10/24 WAS51.5 ($9.9K)--53.5 ($9.7K)--
10/22 PHO30.5 ($10.8K)-13.333 ($10.4K)-13.1
10/21 @DEN43.5 ($10.4K)--47.8 ($10.2K)--
10/19 @UTA61.5 ($10.2K)+17.763.2 ($9.6K)+17.1
10/16 OKC47 ($10.6K)--48.5 ($9K)--