As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among starting pitchers is #1. Ranking by ownership percentage (98%), Justin Verlander is expected to be the #3 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. Justin Verlander's projection rank is slightly better than their market rank. Of the 20 98% owned starting pitchers, he is ranked #1. He is projected for 194 fantasy points in 24 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Justin Verlander behind Syndergaard and above Morton but the projections rank Justin Verlander over Syndergaard.

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points?
194 (#1)?
Wins15 (#2)?
?
Losses?
?
4 (#43)
Quality Starts20 (#1)?
?
Strikeouts187 (#3)?
?
Innings?
151 (#5)?
Walks?
?
34 (#97)
ERA?
2.8 (#7)?
WHIP0.95 (#2)?
?

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among starting pitchers for the rest of week 8 is #1, which is better than his market rank of #3. When compared to other starting pitchers in week 9 he is projected for more points than 2 other starting pitchers starting in more leagues: Chris Sale (4 FP) and Noah Syndergaard (6.3 FP). Starting in 93% of leagues he is expected to produce 11.5 fantasy points (WK 9). It should be a very good week 9 as he is projected to be the #1 starting pitcher.

He is projected for 15.6 fantasy points in week 9 (#1 SP) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points?
15.64 (#1)?
Wins1.34 (#1)?
?
Losses?
?
0.24 (#32)
Quality Starts1.6 (#2)?
?
Strikeouts15.63 (#1)?
?
Innings?
?
11.81 (#12)
Walks?
?
2.97 (#33)

  • Based on 5/15 start percentages, Justin Verlander is valued behind Syndergaard and above Morton but the projections rank Justin Verlander over Syndergaard in week 9.
  • May 20May 21May 22May 23May 24May 25May 26
    --9.1 FP vs CHW--------6.5 FP vs BOS

    Justin Verlander last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/10 vs TEX17 FP, 55 FD, 33 DK7 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 1 HA, 2 BBI, WIN
    5/5 @LAA7 FP, 34 FD, 21 DK6.1 IP, 4 ER, 7 K, 5 HA, 1 BBI
    4/29 @MIN2 FP, 40 FD, 23 DK6 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 2 HA, 2 BBI
    4/24 vs MIN17 FP, 55 FD, 34 DK8 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 4 HA, 0 BBI, WIN
    4/19 @TEX14 FP, 52 FD, 30 DK7 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 3 HA, 3 BBI, WIN

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/15): Based on a projected 47.4 FanDuel points, Verlander is fairly ranked. He is the #1 highest priced pitcher ($12000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $13.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Based on salary, he is expected to have 43 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 46 games (57%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 45%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Verlander is projected for 27.6 DraftKings points and is fairly ranked. He is the #1 highest priced pitcher ($11000). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Verlander is worth $14K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 21.6 FPs, a value reached in 34 of 46 games (74%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 42%.

    Verlander is in the SportsLine Projection model FanDuel optimal lineup and DraftKings optimal lineup. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has used his own proprietary model to successfully win over $1 Million in Daily Fantasy. His lineups often differ significantly from the SportsLine Projection model.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 7 fantasy weeks he had one where he was +50% above his weekly average of 11.8 fantasy points. He had one bad week where he came up 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL11.8 FP per Week11
    Week 114.5 (1 games)
    Week 2-8 (1 games)-19.8
    Week 318.5 (2 games 9.2 per game)+6.7
    Week 414 (1 games)
    Week 517 (1 games)
    Week 69.3 (2 games 4.7 per game)
    Week 717 (1 games)

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 43.6 FD points and 25.7 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All43.6 ($11.1K)0 G, 1 B25.7 ($10.8K)0 G, 1 B
    5/10 TEX55 ($11.3K)--33.3 ($11K)--
    5/5 @LAA34 ($11.4K)--20.6--
    4/29 @MIN40 ($11.3K)--23.1 ($10.8K)--
    4/24 MIN55 ($11K)--33.6 ($10.5K)--
    4/19 @TEX52 ($10.8K)--30.2 ($10.4K)--
    4/13 @SEA58 ($10.5K)--36.3 ($11.1K)--
    4/8 NYY31 ($10.7K)--14.1 ($10.4K)--
    4/2 @TEX12 ($11.3K)-31.63 ($11.5K)-22.7
    3/28 @TB55 ($11.4K)--32.2 ($11K)--