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Toronto
Blue Jays
Stadium Rogers Centre
18-27 Overall | AL EAST 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Blue Jays.220164443.89
Schedule
Regular season
Tue? 5/21
vs
Red Sox
7:07pm
Wed? 5/22
vs
Red Sox
7:07pm
Thu? 5/23
vs
Red Sox
12:37pm
Fri? 5/24
vs
Padres
7:07pm
Sat? 5/25
vs
Padres
3:07pm
Sun? 5/26
vs
Padres
1:07pm
Mon? 5/27
@
Rays
1:10pm
Tue? 5/28
@
Rays
7:10pm
Wed? 5/29
@
Rays
7:10pm
Fri? 5/31
@
Rockies
8:40pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Blue Jays were projected for 69.2 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 4/12 they had a 61.7% chance before increasing to 78.7% on 5/5. Their current chances are at 68.5%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 0.4% (250/1 odds) and a 0.2% chance of winning it all (500/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #14 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 54% #1 Toughest

Blue Jays' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 18-27 Blue Jays 'should have' 21 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 13 good wins vs 12 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 8-13- home record is -13% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-13, 32%) is under their expected 47% win percentage. In simulations where the Blue Jays played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.8% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 5/5.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.62 which ranks #10 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #13. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #11 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -2.42 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Blue Jays next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 19
CLOSE GAME
48% @CHW
437 miles
MAY 20
LIKELY LOSS
30% BOS
437 miles
MAY 21
LIKELY LOSS
37% BOS
--
MAY 22
CLOSE GAME
41% BOS
--
MAY 23
LIKELY LOSS
34% BOS
--
MAY 24
CLOSE GAME
48% SD
--
MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
50% SD
--
MAY 26
CLOSE GAME
43% SD
--
MAY 27
LIKELY LOSS
32% @TB
1113 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
22% @TB
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 13.4%. At #13 in the league, they are behind the Tigers by half a point. With a +0.3 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Orioles by 3 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Orioles. There is only a 0.21 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Blue Jays are the 6th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blue Jays are playing 14 games, traveling 11147 miles crossing 7 time zones. They rank #11 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Toronto Blue Jays' next game. They are +100 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
31 Biagini, Joe RP6-523505/29/19904No College
49 Davis, Jonathan CF5-819005/12/19922No College
3 Drury, Brandon 3B6-221008/21/19925No College
60 Feierabend, Ryan SP6-322508/22/19855No College
16 Galvis, Freddy SS5-1018511/14/19898No College
43 Gaviglio, Sam RP6-219505/22/19903Oregon State
51 Giles, Ken RP6-220509/20/19906No College
15 Grichuk, Randal CF6-120508/13/19916No College
27 Guerrero, Vladimir 3B6-225003/16/19991No College
46 Hudson, Daniel RP6-322503/09/198710No College
33 Jackson, Edwin SP6-221509/09/198317No College
9 Jansen, Danny C6-222504/15/19952No College
64 Law, Derek RP6-322409/14/19904No College
65 Luciano, Elvis RP6-218402/15/20001No College
21 Maile, Luke C6-322502/06/19915Kentucky
58 Mayza, Tim RP6-322001/15/19923No College
28 McKinney, Billy RF6-120508/23/19942No College
41 Sanchez, Aaron SP6-421507/01/19926No College
14 Smoak, Justin 1B6-422012/05/198610South Carolina
5 Sogard, Eric 2B5-1018505/22/19869Arizona State
6 Stroman, Marcus SP5-818005/01/19916Duke
44 Tellez, Rowdy DH6-422003/16/19952No College
52 Tepera, Ryan RP6-219511/03/19875No College
57 Thornton, Trent SP6-017509/30/19931North Carolina
7 Urena, Richard 2B6-018502/26/19963No College
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