|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Rangers next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 10 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 19.4%. At #5 in the league, they are behind the Rays by 5 points. With a -1.59 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Red Sox in the league. With a -1.95 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Rangers are just the 29th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 16 games, traveling 17486 miles crossing 14 time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Texas Rangers' next game. They are +100 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 32-28 the Rangers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 27 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 23 impressive wins where they were given
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.47 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #6 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +1.08 which ranks them #5 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Rangers are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 4/13 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 11.4% on 4/29. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 6.3%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Rangers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|---||Andrus, Elvis||6-0||200||08/26/1988||11||No College|
|14||Cabrera, Asdrubal||3B||6-0||205||11/13/1985||13||No College|
|49||Carpenter, David||RP||6-3||250||07/15/1985||6||West Virginia|
|53||Chavez, Jesse||RP||6-2||175||08/21/1983||12||No College|
|17||Choo, Shin-Soo||LF||5-11||205||07/13/1982||15||No College|
|---||DeShields, Delino||5-9||208||08/16/1992||5||No College|
|11||Guzman, Ronald||1B||6-4||225||10/20/1994||2||No College|
|79||Jimenez, A.J.||C||6-0||192||05/01/1990||1||No College|
|57||Jurado, Ariel||RP||6-1||230||01/30/1996||2||No College|
|27||Kelley, Shawn||RP||6-2||237||04/26/1984||11||No College|
|9||Kiner-Falefa, Isiah||C||5-10||176||03/23/1995||2||No College|
|25||Leclerc, Jose||RP||6-0||190||12/19/1993||4||No College|
|35||Lynn, Lance||SP||6-5||255||05/12/1987||8||Ole Miss|
|74||Martin, Brett||RP||6-4||190||No College|
|31||Martin, Chris||RP||6-8||225||06/02/1986||4||No College|
|2||Mathis, Jeff||C||6-0||205||03/31/1983||15||No College|
|30||Mazara, Nomar||RF||6-4||215||04/26/1995||4||No College|
|19||Miller, Shelby||SP||6-3||225||10/10/1990||8||No College|
|12||Odor, Rougned||2B||5-11||195||02/03/1994||6||No College|
|24||Pence, Hunter||DH||6-4||220||04/13/1983||13||No College|
|52||Sampson, Adrian||RP||6-2||200||10/07/1991||3||No College|
|38||Santana, Danny||2B||5-11||190||11/07/1990||6||No College|
|54||Springs, Jeffrey||RP||6-3||193||09/20/1992||2||No College|