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Tampa Bay
Rays
Stadium Tropicana Field
35-22 Overall | AL EAST 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Rays.259267723.00
Schedule
Regular season
Thu? 6/20
@
Athletics
10:07pm
Fri? 6/21
@
Athletics
10:07pm
Sat? 6/22
@
Athletics
4:07pm
Sun? 6/23
@
Athletics
4:07pm
Tue? 6/25
@
Twins
8:10pm
Wed? 6/26
@
Twins
8:10pm
Thu? 6/27
@
Twins
1:10pm
Fri? 6/28
vs
Rangers
7:10pm
Sat? 6/29
vs
Rangers
4:10pm
Sun? 6/30
vs
Rangers
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

At 35-21 the Rays are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 32 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 20 good wins vs 16 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 18-8- road record is +13% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (12-7, 63%) is better than their expected 55% win percentage. The Rays are a good team (in simulations) and won 59.5% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#5 in the league). They have moved up from #12 in the league back on 4/8.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +1.43 which ranks #3 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #4. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +1.38.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Rays next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 2
LIKELY WIN
61% MIN
--
JUN 4
LIKELY WIN
75% @DET
1008 miles
JUN 5
LIKELY WIN
72% @DET
-- miles
JUN 6
LIKELY WIN
74% @DET
-- miles
JUN 7
LIKELY LOSS
38% @BOS
611 miles
JUN 8
CLOSE GAME
59% @BOS
-- miles
JUN 8
CLOSE GAME
49% @BOS
1199 miles
JUN 9
CLOSE GAME
48% @BOS
-- miles
JUN 10
CLOSE GAME
59% OAK
1199 miles
JUN 11
CLOSE GAME
56% OAK
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 14%. At #4 in the league, they are behind the Astros by 2.5 points. With a -0.81 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Rangers by 6 points. With a +0.92 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Rays are just the 26th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rays are playing 15 games, traveling 15640 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #15 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Tampa Bay Rays' next game is on June 2. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Rays are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.7% chance of winning it all. On 3/29 they had a 1.1% chance before increasing to 12.1% on 5/5. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 7.7%. They have a 34.8% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #4 in the conference and have a 91% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 10% chance of winning the AL (9/1) and a 5.3% chance of winning it all (18/1). In simulations they make the World Series 16.3% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #7 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #9 Easiest

Rays' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
1 Adames, Willy SS6-020009/02/19952No College
--- Arroyo, Christian 6-120505/30/19953No College
68 Beeks, Jalen RP5-1120507/10/19932Arkansas
63 Castillo, Diego RP6-324001/18/19942No College
72 Chirinos, Yonny RP6-223512/26/19932No College
26 Choi, Ji-Man 1B6-123005/19/19914No College
2 Diaz, Yandy 3B6-218508/08/19913No College
47 Drake, Oliver SP6-421501/13/19875Navy
24 Garcia, Avisail RF6-424006/12/19918No College
54 Heredia, Guillermo CF5-1018001/31/19914No College
39 Kiermaier, Kevin CF6-121504/22/19907No College
56 Kolarek, Adam RP6-320501/14/19893Maryland
8 Lowe, Brandon 2B5-1017507/06/19942Maryland
17 Meadows, Austin DH6-321005/03/19952No College
50 Morton, Charlie SP6-523511/12/198312No College
15 Pagan, Emilio RP6-321005/07/19913No College
29 Pham, Tommy LF6-121503/08/19886No College
28 Robertson, Daniel 3B5-1120003/22/19943No College
52 Roe, Chaz RP6-519010/09/19867No College
4 Snell, Blake SP6-420012/04/19924No College
55 Stanek, Ryne SP6-421507/26/19913Arkansas
44 Wood, Hunter RP6-116508/12/19933No College
48 Yarbrough, Ryan RP6-521012/31/19912No College
10 Zunino, Mike C6-222003/25/19917Florida
37 d'Arnaud, Travis C6-221102/10/19897No College
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