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St. Louis
Cardinals
Stadium Busch Stadium
23-22 Overall | NL CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Cardinals.258225564.44
Schedule
Regular season
Sun? 5/19
@
Rangers
3:05pm
Tue? 5/21
vs
Royals
8:15pm
Wed? 5/22
vs
Royals
1:15pm
Fri? 5/24
vs
Braves
8:15pm
Sat? 5/25
vs
Braves
FOX7:15pm
Sun? 5/26
vs
Braves
ESP27:05pm
Tue? 5/28
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Wed? 5/29
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Thu? 5/30
@
Phillies
1:05pm
Fri? 5/31
vs
Cubs
8:15pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Cardinals are contenders to win the NL but it is looking less likely to happen. In our pre-season forecast they had a 8.5% chance of making the World Series. On 4/26 they had a 16.6% chance before dropping to 2.9% on 5/13. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 2.4%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 3.4%. They have a 4.7% chance of winning their division. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #7 in the conference) and have a 24% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have an 11.1% chance of winning the NL (8/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they win the World Series 1% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #13 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #4 Toughest

Cardinals' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 23-21 the Cardinals are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 22.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 13 good wins but they also have 13 bad losses. They have won 43% of their road games and were expected to win 48%. At home they have a 61% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 54%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 8-12, 40%. The Cardinals should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 53.4% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#11 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #8 winning 55.9%.

Their average run differential is +0.43 which ranks #6 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #10 in road games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -1.23 (#11 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 8 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 8 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 17
LIKELY WIN
69% @TEX
561 miles
MAY 18
CLOSE GAME
45% @TEX
-- miles
MAY 19
CLOSE GAME
45% @TEX
-- miles
MAY 21
LIKELY WIN
69% KC
--
MAY 22
LIKELY WIN
67% KC
--
MAY 24
LIKELY WIN
67% ATL
--
MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
45% ATL
--
MAY 26
CLOSE GAME
48% ATL
--
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
39% @PHI
809 miles
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
50% @PHI
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 8 games is a record of 4-4 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 24%. At #7 in the league, they are fighting with the Braves for positioning. With a -0.55 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 8 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Padres in the league. With a -0.5 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 8 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Cardinals are the 15th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Cardinals are playing 12 games, traveling 6041 miles crossing 4 time zones. They rank #27 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The St Louis Cardinals' next game is on May 17. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
48 Bader, Harrison CF6-020506/03/19943Florida
60 Brebbia, John RP6-120005/30/19903No College
13 Carpenter, Matt 3B6-321511/26/19859TCU
12 DeJong, Paul SS6-020008/02/19933No College
22 Flaherty, Jack SP6-422510/15/19953No College
25 Fowler, Dexter RF6-520503/22/198612No College
65 Gallegos, Giovanny RP6-221008/14/19913No College
53 Gant, John RP6-419508/06/19924No College
46 Goldschmidt, Paul 1B6-322509/10/19879No College
3 Gyorko, Jedd 3B5-1020009/23/19887West Virginia
--- Helsley, Ryan 6-1195No College
49 Hicks, Jordan RP6-2185No College
43 Hudson, Dakota SP6-521509/15/19942Mississippi State
18 Martinez, Carlos SP5-1120009/21/19916No College
38 Martinez, Jose RF6-723007/25/19884No College
39 Mikolas, Miles SP6-522008/23/19885No College
21 Miller, Andrew RP6-720505/21/198514North Carolina
4 Molina, Yadier C5-1121007/13/198216No College
34 Munoz, Yairo SS6-021001/23/19952No College
23 Ozuna, Marcell LF6-122511/12/19907No College
52 Wacha, Michael SP6-521507/01/19917Texas A&M
50 Wainwright, Adam SP6-722008/30/198114No College
30 Webb, Tyler RP6-523007/20/19903South Carolina
32 Wieters, Matt C6-523005/21/198611Georgia Tech
16 Wong, Kolten 2B5-718510/10/19907Hawaii
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