|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 9 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 9 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (29% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 10.5%. At #14 in the league, they are behind the Reds by 2 points. With a -0.78 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Marlins by 2.5 points. With a -1.78 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Giants are the most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Giants are playing 13 games, traveling 4727 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #14 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the San Francisco Giants' next game. They are +140 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 26-37 Giants 'should have' 28 wins. They have 23 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 17 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have come up especially short at home. Their 11-19- home record is -10% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-12, 40%) is under their expected 45% win percentage. In simulations where the Giants played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 39.2% of the time (#26 in the league). They have moved up from #28 in the league back on 6/1.
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -1.37 which ranks #15 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #14. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.92 which ranks them #13 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Giants were projected for 71.8 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/25 they had a 71.9% chance before dropping to 55.5% on 6/1. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 60.9.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Giants' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|19||Austin, Tyler||LF||6-2||220||09/06/1991||4||No College|
|40||Bumgarner, Madison||SP||6-4||242||08/01/1989||11||No College|
|49||Dyson, Sam||RP||6-1||210||05/07/1988||8||South Carolina|
|16||Garcia, Aramis||C||6-2||220||01/12/1993||2||No College|
|45||Holland, Derek||RP||6-2||213||10/09/1986||11||No College|
|10||Longoria, Evan||3B||6-1||215||10/07/1985||12||No College|
|54||Moronta, Reyes||RP||5-11||241||01/06/1993||3||No College|
|12||Panik, Joe||2B||6-1||199||10/30/1990||6||No College|
|1||Pillar, Kevin||CF||6-0||205||01/04/1989||7||No College|
|37||Pomeranz, Drew||SP||6-5||228||11/22/1988||9||Ole Miss|
|57||Rodriguez, Dereck||SP||6-1||215||06/05/1992||2||No College|
|29||Samardzija, Jeff||SP||6-5||240||01/23/1985||12||Notre Dame|
|48||Sandoval, Pablo||3B||5-11||268||08/11/1986||12||No College|
|13||Smith, Will||RP||6-5||248||07/10/1989||7||No College|
|7||Solano, Donovan||SS||5-10||205||12/17/1987||6||No College|
|21||Vogt, Stephen||C||6-0||211||11/01/1984||7||No College|