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Seattle
Mariners
Stadium T-Mobile Park
23-29 Overall | AL WEST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Mariners.243271935.13
Schedule
Regular season
Tue? 5/21
@
Rangers
L3-5
Wed? 5/22
@
Rangers
L1-2
Fri? 5/24
@
Athletics
10:07pm
Sat? 5/25
@
Athletics
4:07pm
Sun? 5/26
@
Athletics
4:07pm
Mon? 5/27
vs
Rangers
9:10pm
Tue? 5/28
vs
Rangers
10:10pm
Wed? 5/29
vs
Rangers
3:40pm
Thu? 5/30
vs
Angels
10:10pm
Fri? 5/31
vs
Angels
10:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 23-29 the Mariners are behind their money line projected win total of 24.2 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 13 good wins vs 10 bad losses. They have won 46% of their road games and were expected to win 46%. At home they have a 42% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 47%. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 40.2% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations, the Mariners are a below average team and won 47.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#22 in the league). Their peak rank was #9 in the league back on 4/21.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.73 which ranks #12 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #12 in home games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -4.17 (#15 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The Mariners next 10 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 24
CLOSE GAME
40% @OAK
681 miles
MAY 25
LIKELY LOSS
33% @OAK
-- miles
MAY 26
LIKELY LOSS
32% @OAK
-- miles
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
50% TEX
681 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY WIN
66% TEX
--
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
58% TEX
--
MAY 30
CLOSE GAME
49% LAA
--
MAY 31
CLOSE GAME
45% LAA
--
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
58% LAA
--
JUN 2
LIKELY WIN
69% LAA
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 16.6%. At #11 in the league, they are behind the Angels by half a point. With a +0.54 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Blue Jays by 2 points. With a +1.65 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Mariners are the 6th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Mariners are playing 15 games, traveling 4387 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #14 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Seattle Mariners' next game. They are +138 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Mariners were projected for 74.4 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/18 they had a 74% chance before increasing to 91.8% on 4/21. Their current chances are at 75.3%. The playoffs are not likely with their 0.7% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 0.4% (250/1 odds) and a 0.2% chance of winning it all (500/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #4 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #7 Toughest

Mariners' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
63 Adams, Austin RP6-322505/05/19913No College
52 Bass, Anthony RP6-220011/01/19878No College
1 Beckham, Tim SS6-121001/27/19906No College
36 Biddle, Jesse RP6-522010/22/19912No College
65 Brennan, Brandon RP6-422007/26/19911No College
32 Bruce, Jay RF6-323004/03/198712No College
3 Crawford, J.P. SS6-218001/11/19953No College
55 Elias, Roenis RP5-1119708/01/19886No College
10 Encarnacion, Edwin 1B6-123001/07/198315No College
35 Gearrin, Cory RP6-120504/14/19868No College
7 Gonzales, Marco SP6-119902/16/19925No College
17 Haniger, Mitch RF6-220412/23/19904No College
18 Kikuchi, Yusei SP6-020006/17/19911No College
49 LeBlanc, Wade SP6-320508/07/198411Alabama
8 Leake, Mike SP5-1117011/12/198710Arizona State
39 Long, Shedric 2B5-1018008/22/19950No College
57 Milone, Tommy SP6-021502/16/19879USC
25 Moore, Dylan 3B6-018508/02/19921UCF
2 Murphy, Tom C6-121604/03/19915Buffalo
22 Narvaez, Omar C6-022002/10/19924No College
54 Sadzeck, Connor RP6-724010/01/19912No College
16 Santana, Domingo LF6-522808/05/19926No College
0 Smith, Mallex CF5-1018005/06/19934No College
20 Vogelbach, Daniel DH6-025012/17/19924No College
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