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Pittsburgh
Pirates
Stadium PNC Park
28-30 Overall | NL CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Pirates.255245574.96
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 6/19
vs
Tigers
7:05pm
Fri? 6/21
vs
Padres
7:05pm
Sat? 6/22
vs
Padres
4:05pm
Sun? 6/23
vs
Padres
1:35pm
Tue? 6/25
@
Astros
8:10pm
Wed? 6/26
@
Astros
8:10pm
Thu? 6/27
@
Astros
2:10pm
Fri? 6/28
@
Brewers
8:10pm
Sat? 6/29
@
Brewers
FOX8:15pm
Sun? 6/30
@
Brewers
2:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 10 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 10 games.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
32% MIL
--
JUN 4
CLOSE GAME
46% ATL
--
JUN 5
CLOSE GAME
41% ATL
--
JUN 6
CLOSE GAME
42% ATL
--
JUN 7
LIKELY LOSS
21% @MIL
448 miles
JUN 8
LIKELY LOSS
23% @MIL
-- miles
JUN 9
LIKELY LOSS
31% @MIL
-- miles
JUN 10
LIKELY LOSS
32% @ATL
671 miles
JUN 11
LIKELY LOSS
38% @ATL
-- miles
JUN 12
LIKELY LOSS
22% @ATL
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 3-7 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 19.9%. At #10 in the league, they are fighting with the D-Backs for positioning. With a -1.94 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Mets by half a point. With a -1.49 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Pirates are just the 25th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Pirates are playing 14 games, traveling 9917 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #21 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Pittsburgh Pirates' next game is on June 2. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 28-29 the Pirates are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 26 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 21 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 17-13- road record is +15% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-12, 45%) is better than their expected 41% win percentage. In simulations where the Pirates played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 45.2% of the time (#22 in the league). Their peak rank was #14 in the league back on 4/7.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -1.16 which ranks #13 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #10. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is -1.79 which ranks them #14 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Pirates were projected for 78.7 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 4/21 they had an 80.3% chance before dropping to 68.7% on 5/31. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 70.4. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 2.4% (40/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #6 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #9 Toughest

Pirates' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
24 Archer, Chris SP6-219509/26/19888No College
55 Bell, Josh 1B6-424008/14/19924No College
43 Brault, Steven RP6-019504/29/19924No College
53 Cabrera, Melky RF5-1021008/11/198415No College
30 Crick, Kyle RP6-422011/30/19923No College
62 Davis, Rookie RP6-525504/29/19932No College
32 Diaz, Elias C6-122011/17/19905No College
26 Frazier, Adam 2B5-1018012/14/19914Mississippi State
52 Holmes, Clay RP6-522503/27/19932No College
49 Kingham, Nick RP6-523511/08/19912No College
47 Liriano, Francisco RP6-222510/26/198314No College
31 Lyles, Jordan SP6-523010/19/19909No College
6 Marte, Starling CF6-119010/09/19888No College
63 McRae, Alex RP6-222004/06/19932No College
19 Moran, Colin 3B6-420510/01/19924North Carolina
59 Musgrove, Joe SP6-523012/04/19924No College
27 Newman, Kevin SS6-018008/04/19932Arizona
36 Osuna, Jose 3B6-324012/12/19923No College
25 Polanco, Gregory RF6-523509/14/19916No College
10 Reynolds, Bryan LF6-3200No College
--- Rodriguez, Richard 6-423003/04/19903No College
--- Stallings, Jacob 6-422012/22/19894North Carolina
3 Tucker, Cole SS6-320507/03/19961No College
73 Vazquez, Felipe RP6-222507/05/19915No College
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