|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
The Athletics are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 44.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 3/19 they had a 45.5% chance before dropping to 4.3% on 5/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 16.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2.4% (40/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Athletics' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 33-31 the Athletics have as many wins as were expected. If you add up their per game money line implied probabilities they would have 32.9 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 19 good wins vs 17 bad losses. They have won 48% of their road games and were expected to win 51%. At home they have a 55% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 13-6 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 9.9 wins. The Athletics should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.5% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#12 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 5/6.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.47 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.17 which ranks them #8 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 5 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 10.9%. At #7 in the league, they are behind the Red Sox by half a point. With a -0.49 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Indians by half a point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Indians. There is only a 0.16 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Athletics are the 4th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Athletics are playing 15 games, traveling 20116 miles crossing 26 time zones. They rank #3 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Oakland Athletics' next game is on June 8. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Anderson, Brett||SP||6-3||230||02/01/1988||11||No College|
|58||Blackburn, Paul||RP||6-1||200||12/04/1993||2||No College|
|35||Brooks, Aaron||SP||6-4||230||04/27/1990||4||No College|
|52||Buchter, Ryan||RP||6-4||232||02/13/1987||5||No College|
|26||Chapman, Matt||3B||6-0||220||04/28/1993||3||No College|
|2||Davis, Khris||DH||5-11||203||12/21/1987||7||No College|
|66||Dull, Ryan||RP||5-9||185||10/02/1989||5||No College|
|50||Fiers, Mike||SP||6-2||202||06/15/1985||9||No College|
|8||Grossman, Robbie||LF||6-0||215||09/16/1989||7||No College|
|16||Hendriks, Liam||RP||6-0||225||02/10/1989||9||No College|
|22||Laureano, Ramon||CF||5-11||200||07/15/1994||2||No College|
|47||Montas, Frankie||SP||6-2||245||03/21/1993||4||No College|
|28||Olson, Matt||1B||6-5||230||03/29/1994||4||No College|
|36||Petit, Yusmeiro||RP||6-1||255||11/22/1984||12||No College|
|18||Pinder, Chad||LF||6-2||207||03/29/1992||4||Virginia Tech|
|23||Profar, Jurickson||2B||6-0||190||02/20/1993||6||No College|
|48||Soria, Joakim||RP||6-3||200||05/18/1984||12||No College|
|39||Treinen, Blake||RP||6-5||227||06/30/1988||6||No College|
|62||Trivino, Lou||RP||6-5||240||10/01/1991||2||No College|
|61||Wang, Wei-Chung||RP||6-1||160||04/25/1992||3||No College|