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New York
Yankees
Stadium Yankee Stadium
38-20 Overall | AL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Yankees.259310923.66
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 6/19
vs
Rays
1:05pm
Thu? 6/20
vs
Astros
7:05pm
Fri? 6/21
vs
Astros
7:05pm
Sat? 6/22
vs
Astros
FOX7:15pm
Sun? 6/23
vs
Astros
2:05pm
Mon? 6/24
vs
Blue Jays
7:05pm
Tue? 6/25
vs
Blue Jays
7:05pm
Wed? 6/26
vs
Blue Jays
1:05pm
Sat? 6/29
@
Red Sox
FOX1:10pm
Sun? 6/30
@
Red Sox
ESPN10:10am
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 38-19 the Yankees are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 33 wins. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 17-8- road record is +15% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 15-4 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 10.9 wins. The Yankees perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 63.1% of the time (#3 in the league). They have moved up from #5 in the league back on 5/6.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +1.39 which ranks #4 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #2. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +3 (#1 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 9 games is generally good. They have 6 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 2
CLOSE GAME
51% BOS
--
JUN 4
LIKELY WIN
69% @TOR
341 miles
JUN 5
LIKELY WIN
66% @TOR
-- miles
JUN 6
LIKELY WIN
76% @TOR
-- miles
JUN 7
CLOSE GAME
57% @CLE
189 miles
JUN 8
LIKELY WIN
62% @CLE
-- miles
JUN 9
CLOSE GAME
54% @CLE
-- miles
JUN 10
LIKELY WIN
68% NYM
407 miles
JUN 11
CLOSE GAME
54% NYM
--
JUN 13
LIKELY WIN
69% @CHW
715 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 6-3 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 8.1%. Their chances of winning their next 9 are 1%. At #2 in the league, they are behind the Twins by one point. With a +0.23 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are in a battle with Astros in the league. With a -1.13 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Yankees are the 11th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Yankees are playing 13 games, traveling 8063 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #23 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the New York Yankees' next game. They are +111 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Yankees are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 15.2% chance of winning it all. On 3/29 they had a 19.1% chance before dropping to 6.9% on 5/9. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 11.7%. Before the start of their 3 game winning streak they were at 7.8%. They have a 56.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #2 in the conference and have a 96% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the AL (5/2) and a 14.3% chance of winning it all (6/1). In simulations they make the World Series 21.4% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #11 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 45% #3 Easiest

Yankees' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
53 Britton, Zack RP6-120012/22/19879No College
85 Cessa, Luis RP6-020804/25/19924No College
54 Chapman, Aroldis RP6-421802/28/198810No College
30 Estrada, Thairo 2B5-1018502/22/19961No College
77 Frazier, Clint RF5-1121209/06/19943No College
11 Gardner, Brett CF5-1119508/24/198312No College
55 German, Domingo SP6-218108/04/19923No College
57 Green, Chad RP6-321505/24/19914Louisville
--- Hale, David 6-221009/27/19876No College
34 Happ, J.A. SP6-520510/19/198213Northwestern
31 Hicks, Aaron CF6-120510/02/19897No College
56 Holder, Jonathan RP6-223206/09/19934Mississippi State
48 Kahnle, Tommy RP6-123008/07/19896No College
26 LeMahieu, DJ 2B6-422007/13/19889LSU
38 Maybin, Cameron RF6-321504/04/198713No College
36 Morales, Kendrys 1B6-122506/20/198313No College
0 Ottavino, Adam RP6-524611/22/19859No College
65 Paxton, James SP6-422711/06/19887Kentucky
28 Romine, Austin C6-121611/22/19888No College
52 Sabathia, CC SP6-630007/21/198019No College
24 Sanchez, Gary C6-223012/02/19925No College
19 Tanaka, Masahiro SP6-321811/01/19886No College
25 Torres, Gleyber SS6-120512/13/19962No College
29 Urshela, Gio 3B6-021510/11/19914No College
45 Voit, Luke 1B6-325502/13/19913No College
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