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Miami
Marlins
Stadium Marlins Park
16-31 Overall | NL EAST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Marlins.221134324.36
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 5/22
@
Tigers
W6-3
Thu? 5/23
@
Tigers
W5-2
Fri? 5/24
@
Nationals
Gametracker
Sat? 5/25
@
Nationals
4:05pm
Sun? 5/26
@
Nationals
1:35pm
Mon? 5/27
@
Nationals
ESPN1:05pm
Tue? 5/28
vs
Giants
7:10pm
Wed? 5/29
vs
Giants
7:10pm
Thu? 5/30
vs
Giants
1:10pm
Fri? 5/31
@
Padres
10:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/19 they had a 65.1% chance before dropping to 54.2% on 5/12. Their current chances are at 62.8%. Before the start of their 6 game winning streak they were at 54.7%.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #4 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #12 Toughest

Marlins' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 16-31 Marlins 'should have' 18 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 14 good wins vs 11 bad losses. They have won 33% of their road games and were expected to win 38%. At home they have a 35% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 41%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-10, 41%) is better than their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 38.3% of the time (#28 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 5/17.

Their average run differential is -1.74 which ranks #15 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is -0.3 (#11 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 10 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 5 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 24
LIKELY LOSS
38% @WAS
925 miles
MAY 25
LIKELY LOSS
36% @WAS
-- miles
MAY 26
CLOSE GAME
50% @WAS
-- miles
MAY 27
LIKELY LOSS
30% @WAS
-- miles
MAY 28
CLOSE GAME
48% SF
925 miles
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
48% SF
--
MAY 30
CLOSE GAME
59% SF
--
MAY 31
CLOSE GAME
51% @SD
2268 miles
JUN 1
LIKELY LOSS
33% @SD
-- miles
JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
33% @SD
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 20.7%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Nationals by 1.5 points. With a -0.57 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Marlins are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Marlins are playing 14 games, traveling 25167 miles crossing 22 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +129 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
22 Alcantara, Sandy SP6-518509/07/19953No College
38 Alfaro, Jorge C6-224006/11/19934No College
15 Anderson, Brian 3B6-219805/19/19933Arkansas
70 Anderson, Nick RP6-519507/05/19901No College
37 Brice, Austin RP6-423506/19/19924No College
13 Castro, Starlin 2B6-223003/24/199010No College
20 Chen, Wei-Yin RP6-019307/21/19858No College
61 Conley, Adam RP6-320105/24/19905Washington State
--- Cooper, Garrett 6-623012/25/19903Auburn
44 Dean, Austin RF6-119010/14/19932No College
66 Garcia, Jarlin RP6-321701/18/19933No College
21 Granderson, Curtis LF6-119903/16/198116No College
56 Guerrero, Tayron RP6-721401/09/19913No College
5 Herrera, Rosell CF6-319510/16/19922No College
--- Holaday, Bryan C6-020511/19/19877TCU
39 Kinley, Tyler RP6-420501/31/19912No College
49 Lopez, Pablo SP6-320003/07/19962No College
14 Prado, Martin 1B6-021510/27/198314No College
47 Ramirez, Harold LF5-1123409/06/19941No College
36 Richards, Trevor SP6-219005/15/19932No College
19 Rojas, Miguel SS5-1118802/24/19896No College
54 Romo, Sergio RP5-1118503/04/198312No College
31 Smith, Caleb SP6-220507/28/19913No College
62 Urena, Jose SP6-320609/12/19915No College
18 Walker, Neil 1B6-321009/10/198511No College
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