|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/19 they had a 65.1% chance before dropping to 54.2% on 5/12. Their current chances are at 62.8%. Before the start of their 6 game winning streak they were at 54.7%.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Marlins' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 16-31 Marlins 'should have' 18 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 14 good wins vs 11 bad losses. They have won 33% of their road games and were expected to win 38%. At home they have a 35% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 41%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-10, 41%) is better than their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 38.3% of the time (#28 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 5/17.
Their average run differential is -1.74 which ranks #15 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is -0.3 (#11 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The forecast for their next 10 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 5 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 20.7%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Nationals by 1.5 points. With a -0.57 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Marlins are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Marlins are playing 14 games, traveling 25167 miles crossing 22 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +129 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|22||Alcantara, Sandy||SP||6-5||185||09/07/1995||3||No College|
|38||Alfaro, Jorge||C||6-2||240||06/11/1993||4||No College|
|70||Anderson, Nick||RP||6-5||195||07/05/1990||1||No College|
|37||Brice, Austin||RP||6-4||235||06/19/1992||4||No College|
|13||Castro, Starlin||2B||6-2||230||03/24/1990||10||No College|
|20||Chen, Wei-Yin||RP||6-0||193||07/21/1985||8||No College|
|61||Conley, Adam||RP||6-3||201||05/24/1990||5||Washington State|
|44||Dean, Austin||RF||6-1||190||10/14/1993||2||No College|
|66||Garcia, Jarlin||RP||6-3||217||01/18/1993||3||No College|
|21||Granderson, Curtis||LF||6-1||199||03/16/1981||16||No College|
|56||Guerrero, Tayron||RP||6-7||214||01/09/1991||3||No College|
|5||Herrera, Rosell||CF||6-3||195||10/16/1992||2||No College|
|39||Kinley, Tyler||RP||6-4||205||01/31/1991||2||No College|
|49||Lopez, Pablo||SP||6-3||200||03/07/1996||2||No College|
|14||Prado, Martin||1B||6-0||215||10/27/1983||14||No College|
|47||Ramirez, Harold||LF||5-11||234||09/06/1994||1||No College|
|36||Richards, Trevor||SP||6-2||190||05/15/1993||2||No College|
|19||Rojas, Miguel||SS||5-11||188||02/24/1989||6||No College|
|54||Romo, Sergio||RP||5-11||185||03/04/1983||12||No College|
|31||Smith, Caleb||SP||6-2||205||07/28/1991||3||No College|
|62||Urena, Jose||SP||6-3||206||09/12/1991||5||No College|
|18||Walker, Neil||1B||6-3||210||09/10/1985||11||No College|