|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A
At 40-19 the Dodgers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 35 wins. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 24-7- home record is +15% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (14-4, 78%) is better than their expected 61% win percentage. The Dodgers perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 66% of the time (#1 in the league). They have moved up from #3 in the league back on 4/24.
Their average run differential is +1.46 which ranks #1 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +2.17.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 9 games is generally good. They have 7 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 6-3 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 7.4%. Their chances of winning their next 9 are 1.1%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Phillies by 6.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Phillies. There is only a 0.45 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Dodgers are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Dodgers are playing 13 games, traveling 4336 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #25 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Los Angeles Dodgers' next game. They are -167 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Dodgers are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 18.6% chance of winning it all. On 4/8 they had a 29.1% chance before dropping to 14.8% on 4/24. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 24.7%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 99.4%. Based on the odds, they have a 36.4% chance of winning the NL (7/4) and a 20% chance of winning it all (4/1). In simulations they make the World Series 41% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Dodgers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|75||Alexander, Scott||RP||6-2||190||07/10/1989||5||No College|
|52||Baez, Pedro||RP||6-0||230||03/11/1988||6||No College|
|45||Beaty, Matt||1B||6-0||210||04/28/1993||1||No College|
|35||Bellinger, Cody||RF||6-4||213||07/13/1995||3||No College|
|51||Floro, Dylan||RP||6-2||205||12/27/1990||4||No College|
|25||Freese, David||1B||6-2||220||04/28/1983||11||No College|
|63||Garcia, Yimi||RP||6-1||220||08/18/1990||5||No College|
|14||Hernandez, Enrique||2B||5-11||200||08/24/1991||6||No College|
|74||Jansen, Kenley||RP||6-5||275||09/30/1987||10||No College|
|17||Kelly, Joe||RP||6-1||190||06/09/1988||8||No College|
|22||Kershaw, Clayton||SP||6-3||228||03/19/1988||12||No College|
|18||Maeda, Kenta||SP||6-0||176||04/11/1988||4||No College|
|55||Martin, Russell||C||5-10||205||02/15/1983||14||No College|
|31||Pederson, Joc||LF||6-1||220||04/21/1992||6||No College|
|99||Ryu, Hyun-Jin||SP||6-2||230||03/25/1987||6||No College|
|5||Seager, Corey||SS||6-4||215||04/27/1994||5||No College|
|68||Stripling, Ross||RP||6-3||190||11/23/1989||4||Texas A&M|
|10||Turner, Justin||3B||5-11||205||11/23/1984||11||No College|
|7||Urias, Julio||RP||6-0||215||08/12/1996||4||No College|
|27||Verdugo, Alex||CF||6-0||209||05/15/1996||3||No College|