|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Angels were projected for 82.4 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/24 they had an 84% chance before dropping to 71.2% on 5/24. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 75.4. They are not projected to finish in the Top 8 (#9 in the conference) and only have a 1% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 1% (100/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Angels' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 31-34 Angels 'should have' 33 wins. They have 21 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 19 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 45% of their road games and were expected to win 48%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 53%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-11, 48%) is under their expected 52% win percentage. In simulations, the Angels are a below average team and won 49.7% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#18 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 5/24.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.02 which ranks #8 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is +1.21 (#3 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY
The Angels next 10 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 5 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 12.5%. At #9 in the league, they are behind the Athletics by 1.5 points. With a -1.15 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with White Sox in the league. With a +1.87 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Angels are the 17th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Angels are playing 14 games, traveling 39029 miles crossing 54 time zones. They rank #1 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Los Angeles Angels' next game. They are -150 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|37||Allen, Cody||RP||6-1||210||11/20/1988||8||No College|
|38||Anderson, Justin||RP||6-3||205||09/28/1992||2||No College|
|32||Bedrosian, Cam||RP||6-0||230||10/02/1991||6||No College|
|31||Buttrey, Ty||RP||6-6||245||03/31/1993||2||No College|
|56||Calhoun, Kole||RF||5-10||200||10/14/1987||8||Arizona State|
|6||Fletcher, David||3B||5-10||175||05/31/1994||2||No College|
|40||Garcia, Luis||RP||6-3||235||01/30/1987||7||No College|
|18||Goodwin, Brian||LF||6-0||200||11/02/1990||4||No College|
|28||Heaney, Andrew||SP||6-2||185||06/05/1991||6||Oklahoma State|
|9||La Stella, Tommy||2B||5-11||170||01/31/1989||6||No College|
|17||Ohtani, Shohei||DH||6-4||200||07/05/1994||2||No College|
|64||Pena, Felix||RP||6-2||185||02/25/1990||4||No College|
|48||Puello, Cesar||RF||6-2||220||04/01/1991||2||No College|
|5||Pujols, Albert||1B||6-3||240||01/16/1980||19||No College|
|24||Ramirez, Noe||RP||6-3||195||12/22/1989||5||No College|
|4||Rengifo, Luis||2B||5-10||165||02/26/1997||1||No College|
|57||Robles, Hansel||RP||5-11||185||08/13/1990||5||No College|
|45||Skaggs, Tyler||SP||6-4||225||07/13/1991||7||No College|
|54||Suarez, Jose||SP||5-10||170||No College|
|---||Tovar, Wilfredo||SS||5-7||180||08/11/1991||3||No College|
|35||Tropeano, Nick||RP||6-4||200||08/27/1990||5||No College|
|27||Trout, Mike||CF||6-2||235||08/07/1991||9||No College|