|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
Before the season, the Royals were projected for 76 points (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 3/31 they had a 78.1% chance before dropping to 67.3% on 5/23. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 67.3.
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Royals' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 17-32 Royals 'should have' 21 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 14 good wins vs 13 bad losses. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 7-17 road record is -11% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-12, 40%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Royals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 4/20.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is -0.76 which ranks #13 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #14. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -2.27 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The Royals next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 20.3%. At #14 in the league, they are behind the Tigers by 1.5 points. With a +1.83 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Orioles by 2.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Orioles. There is only a -0.15 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Royals are the 8th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Royals are playing 14 games, traveling 6120 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #19 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Kansas City Royals' next game is on May 24. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|21||Bailey, Homer||SP||6-4||225||05/03/1986||13||No College|
|58||Barlow, Scott||RP||6-3||215||12/18/1992||2||No College|
|40||Diekman, Jake||RP||6-4||205||01/21/1987||8||No College|
|17||Dozier, Hunter||3B||6-4||220||08/22/1991||3||No College|
|41||Duffy, Danny||SP||6-3||205||12/21/1988||9||No College|
|36||Gallagher, Cam||C||6-3||230||12/06/1992||3||No College|
|0||Gore, Terrance||LF||5-7||165||06/08/1991||6||No College|
|6||Hamilton, Billy||CF||6-1||160||09/09/1990||7||No College|
|65||Junis, Jake||SP||6-3||210||09/16/1992||3||No College|
|56||Keller, Brad||SP||6-5||230||07/27/1995||2||No College|
|28||Lopez, Jorge||SP||6-2||205||02/10/1993||4||No College|
|1||Lopez, Nicky||2B||5-11||175||03/13/1995||1||No College|
|16||Maldonado, Martin||C||6-0||230||08/16/1986||9||No College|
|61||McCarthy, Kevin||RP||6-3||200||02/22/1992||4||No College|
|15||Merrifield, Whit||2B||6-1||195||01/24/1989||4||South Carolina|
|27||Mondesi, Adalberto||SS||6-1||190||07/27/1995||4||No College|
|66||O'Hearn, Ryan||1B||6-3||200||07/26/1993||2||No College|
|2||Owings, Chris||2B||5-10||185||08/12/1991||7||No College|
|43||Peralta, Wily||RP||6-1||255||05/08/1989||8||No College|
|12||Soler, Jorge||RF||6-4||240||02/25/1992||6||No College|
|57||Sparkman, Glenn||RP||6-2||200||05/11/1992||3||No College|