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Kansas City
Royals
Stadium Kauffman Stadium
17-32 Overall | AL CENTRAL 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Royals.245220505.23
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 5/22
@
Cardinals
L3-10
Fri? 5/24
vs
Yankees
POSTPONED
Sat? 5/25
vs
Yankees
2:15pm
Sat? 5/25
vs
Yankees
8:15pm
Sun? 5/26
vs
Yankees
2:15pm
Mon? 5/27
@
White Sox
2:10pm
Tue? 5/28
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Wed? 5/29
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Thu? 5/30
@
Rangers
8:05pm
Fri? 5/31
@
Rangers
8:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Royals were projected for 76 points (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 3/31 they had a 78.1% chance before dropping to 67.3% on 5/23. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 67.3.

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #16 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #12 Toughest

Royals' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 17-32 Royals 'should have' 21 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 14 good wins vs 13 bad losses. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 7-17 road record is -11% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-12, 40%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Royals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 4/20.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is -0.76 which ranks #13 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #14. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -2.27 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Royals next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 24
CLOSE GAME
46% NYY
--
MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
43% NYY
--
MAY 26
LIKELY LOSS
30% NYY
--
MAY 27
LIKELY WIN
60% @CHW
408 miles
MAY 28
CLOSE GAME
44% @CHW
-- miles
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
51% @CHW
-- miles
MAY 30
LIKELY LOSS
38% @TEX
814 miles
MAY 31
LIKELY LOSS
33% @TEX
-- miles
JUN 1
LIKELY LOSS
40% @TEX
-- miles
JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
38% @TEX
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 20.3%. At #14 in the league, they are behind the Tigers by 1.5 points. With a +1.83 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Orioles by 2.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Orioles. There is only a -0.15 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Royals are the 8th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Royals are playing 14 games, traveling 6120 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #19 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Kansas City Royals' next game is on May 24. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
21 Bailey, Homer SP6-422505/03/198613No College
58 Barlow, Scott RP6-321512/18/19922No College
26 Boxberger, Brad RP6-220505/27/19888USC
40 Diekman, Jake RP6-420501/21/19878No College
17 Dozier, Hunter 3B6-422008/22/19913No College
41 Duffy, Danny SP6-320512/21/19889No College
36 Gallagher, Cam C6-323012/06/19923No College
4 Gordon, Alex LF6-122002/10/198413Nebraska
0 Gore, Terrance LF5-716506/08/19916No College
6 Hamilton, Billy CF6-116009/09/19907No College
65 Junis, Jake SP6-321009/16/19923No College
56 Keller, Brad SP6-523007/27/19952No College
31 Kennedy, Ian RP6-019512/19/198413USC
28 Lopez, Jorge SP6-220502/10/19934No College
1 Lopez, Nicky 2B5-1117503/13/19951No College
16 Maldonado, Martin C6-023008/16/19869No College
61 McCarthy, Kevin RP6-320002/22/19924No College
15 Merrifield, Whit 2B6-119501/24/19894South Carolina
27 Mondesi, Adalberto SS6-119007/27/19954No College
66 O'Hearn, Ryan 1B6-320007/26/19932No College
2 Owings, Chris 2B5-1018508/12/19917No College
43 Peralta, Wily RP6-125505/08/19898No College
12 Soler, Jorge RF6-424002/25/19926No College
57 Sparkman, Glenn RP6-220005/11/19923No College
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