|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
Before the season, the Tigers were projected for 63.3 points (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 5/9 they had a 66.7% chance before dropping to 52.9% on 5/22. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 52.7. Before the start of their 10 game losing streak they were at 63.8%.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Tigers' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 18-30 Tigers 'should have' 20 wins. They have 16 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 13 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have come up especially short at home. Their 9-18- home record is -13% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 10 in a row they have a 58.1% chance of seeing that extend to 12 straight. In simulations where the Tigers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 31.5% of the time (#30 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #29 winning 36.7%.
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -2.04 which ranks #14 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #13. They are the #14 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is -4.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Tigers next 9 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 9 games.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 2-7 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 20.4%. At #13 in the league, they are behind the Blue Jays by one point. With a -0.9 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Royals by 1.5 points. With a -1.83 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Tigers are just the 28th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Tigers are playing 13 games, traveling 8427 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #24 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Detroit Tigers' next game is on May 24. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|58||Alcantara, Victor||RP||6-2||190||04/03/1993||3||No College|
|62||Baez, Sandy||RP||6-2||219||11/25/1993||2||No College|
|48||Boyd, Matthew||SP||6-3||234||02/02/1991||5||Oregon State|
|24||Cabrera, Miguel||DH||6-4||249||04/18/1983||17||No College|
|9||Castellanos, Nicholas||RF||6-4||203||03/04/1992||7||No College|
|45||Farmer, Buck||RP||6-4||232||02/20/1991||6||Georgia Tech|
|28||Goodrum, Niko||LF||6-3||198||02/28/1992||3||No College|
|61||Greene, Shane||RP||6-4||197||11/17/1988||6||No College|
|17||Greiner, Grayson||C||6-6||239||10/11/1992||2||South Carolina|
|36||Hardy, Blaine||RP||6-2||218||03/14/1987||6||No College|
|77||Jimenez, Joe||RP||6-3||272||01/17/1995||3||No College|
|18||Lugo, Dawel||3B||6-0||190||12/31/1994||2||No College|
|44||Norris, Daniel||SP||6-2||185||04/25/1993||6||No College|
|63||Ramirez, Nick||RP||6-4||232||08/01/1989||1||No College|
|26||Reininger, Zac||RP||6-3||185||01/28/1993||3||No College|
|60||Rodriguez, Ronny||SS||6-0||180||04/17/1992||2||No College|
|65||Soto, Gregory||SP||6-1||236||02/11/1995||1||No College|
|68||Stumpf, Daniel||RP||6-2||208||01/04/1991||4||No College|