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Cincinnati
Reds
Stadium Great American Ball Park
28-33 Overall | NL CENTRAL 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Reds.234266853.65
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 6/19
vs
Astros
12:35pm
Thu? 6/20
@
Brewers
8:10pm
Fri? 6/21
@
Brewers
8:10pm
Sat? 6/22
@
Brewers
4:10pm
Sun? 6/23
@
Brewers
2:10pm
Tue? 6/25
@
Angels
10:07pm
Wed? 6/26
@
Angels
8:07pm
Fri? 6/28
vs
Cubs
7:10pm
Sat? 6/29
vs
Cubs
4:10pm
Sun? 6/30
vs
Cubs
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Reds were projected for 66.5 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 4/9 they had a 60.6% chance before increasing to 78.6% on 6/1. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 76.7%. The playoffs are not likely with their 4.4% chance and a projected #12 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 1% (100/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #11 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #3 Toughest

Reds' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 28-33 the Reds are behind their money line projected win total of 29.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 21 good wins vs 14 bad losses. They have won 42% of their road games and were expected to win 44%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 53%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-9, 50%) is better than their expected 48% win percentage. In simulations, the Reds are a below average team and won 47.1% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#21 in the league). They have moved up from #26 in the league back on 4/23.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.61 which ranks #3 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #12. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +1 (#6 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 9 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and 6 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 7
CLOSE GAME
45% @PHI
501 miles
JUN 8
CLOSE GAME
52% @PHI
-- miles
JUN 9
CLOSE GAME
42% @PHI
-- miles
JUN 11
CLOSE GAME
42% @CLE
223 miles
JUN 12
LIKELY LOSS
39% @CLE
-- miles
JUN 14
CLOSE GAME
54% TEX
--
JUN 15
CLOSE GAME
48% TEX
--
JUN 16
CLOSE GAME
58% TEX
--
JUN 17
LIKELY LOSS
38% HOU
--
JUN 18
LIKELY LOSS
33% HOU
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 4-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 19%. At #12 in the league, they are behind the Mets by 1.5 points. With a -0.8 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Nationals by half a point. With a -1.52 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Reds are the 12th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Reds are playing 13 games, traveling 4049 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #28 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Cincinnati Reds' next game is on June 7. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
16 Barnhart, Tucker C5-1119201/07/19916No College
67 Bowman, Matt RP6-018505/31/19914No College
12 Casali, Curt C6-323511/09/19886Vanderbilt
58 Castillo, Luis SP6-219012/12/19923No College
28 DeSclafani, Anthony SP6-119504/18/19905Florida
22 Dietrich, Derek 2B6-021207/18/19897Georgia Tech
32 Duke, Zach RP6-221004/19/198315No College
52 Farmer, Kyle 2B6-021408/17/19903Georgia
50 Garrett, Amir RP6-522805/03/19923No College
54 Gray, Sonny SP5-1019211/07/19897Vanderbilt
37 Hernandez, David RP6-324505/13/198510No College
48 Hughes, Jared RP6-724007/04/19859No College
4 Iglesias, Jose SS5-1118501/05/19908No College
26 Iglesias, Raisel RP6-218801/04/19905No College
21 Lorenzen, Michael RP6-321701/04/19925No College
30 Mahle, Tyler SP6-321009/29/19943No College
53 Peralta, Wandy RP6-022007/27/19914No College
9 Peraza, Jose 2B6-019604/30/19945No College
66 Puig, Yasiel RF6-224012/07/19907No College
35 Roark, Tanner SP6-224010/05/19867Illinois
15 Senzel, Nick CF6-120506/29/19951Tennessee
7 Suarez, Eugenio 3B5-1121307/18/19916No College
17 VanMeter, Josh LF5-1116503/10/19951No College
19 Votto, Joey 1B6-222009/10/198313No College
33 Winker, Jesse LF6-321508/17/19933No College
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