|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 9 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 9 games.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 14.3%. At #10 in the league, they are fighting with the Angels for positioning. With a -1.39 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Mariners by 4.5 points. With a -1.55 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the White Sox are the 17th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the White Sox are playing 12 games, traveling 2884 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #26 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
According to Sportsline the Chicago White Sox are -139 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 29-33 the White Sox are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 27 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 20 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have won 39% of their road games and were expected to win 40%. At home they have a 55% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 47%. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 35.4% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations where the White Sox played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.9% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 5/22.
Their average run differential is -0.82 which ranks #10 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #10 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.75 which ranks them #9 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
Before the season, the White Sox were projected for 66.6 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 4/6 they had a 69.9% chance before dropping to 61.3% on 5/6. Their current chances are at 67.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
White Sox's Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|79||Abreu, Jose||1B||6-3||245||01/29/1987||6||No College|
|17||Alonso, Yonder||DH||6-1||230||04/08/1987||10||Miami (FL)|
|7||Anderson, Tim||SS||6-1||185||06/23/1993||4||No College|
|58||Banuelos, Manny||SP||5-10||210||03/13/1991||2||No College|
|21||Castillo, Welington||C||5-10||220||04/24/1987||10||No College|
|48||Colome, Alex||RP||6-1||220||12/31/1988||7||No College|
|49||Cordell, Ryan||RF||6-4||205||03/31/1992||2||No College|
|68||Covey, Dylan||SP||6-1||220||08/14/1991||3||No College|
|57||Fry, Jace||RP||6-1||205||07/09/1993||3||Oregon State|
|28||Garcia, Leury||CF||5-8||180||03/18/1991||7||No College|
|27||Giolito, Lucas||SP||6-6||245||07/14/1994||4||No College|
|41||Herrera, Kelvin||RP||5-10||205||12/31/1989||9||No College|
|74||Jimenez, Eloy||LF||6-4||220||11/27/1996||1||No College|
|40||Lopez, Reynaldo||SP||5-11||200||01/04/1994||4||No College|
|43||Marshall, Evan||RP||6-2||225||04/18/1990||6||Kansas State|
|37||Minaya, Juan||RP||6-4||230||09/18/1990||4||No College|
|10||Moncada, Yoan||3B||6-2||220||05/27/1995||4||No College|
|46||Nova, Ivan||SP||6-5||250||01/12/1987||10||No College|
|64||Osich, Josh||RP||6-3||232||09/03/1988||5||Oregon State|
|20||Rondon, Jose||2B||6-1||195||03/03/1994||3||No College|
|66||Ruiz, Jose||RP||6-1||190||10/21/1994||3||No College|
|5||Sanchez, Yolmer||2B||5-11||185||06/29/1992||6||No College|
|22||Tilson, Charlie||RF||6-1||190||12/02/1992||3||No College|