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Baltimore
Orioles
Stadium Oriole Park at Camden Yards
19-44 Overall | AL EAST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Orioles.237257805.64
Schedule
Regular season
Wed? 6/19
@
Athletics
3:37pm
Thu? 6/20
@
Mariners
10:10pm
Fri? 6/21
@
Mariners
10:10pm
Sat? 6/22
@
Mariners
4:10pm
Sun? 6/23
@
Mariners
4:10pm
Tue? 6/25
vs
Padres
7:05pm
Wed? 6/26
vs
Padres
3:05pm
Fri? 6/28
vs
Indians
7:05pm
Sat? 6/29
vs
Indians
4:05pm
Sun? 6/30
vs
Indians
1:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Orioles next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 8
LIKELY LOSS
24% @HOU
1251 miles
JUN 9
LIKELY LOSS
24% @HOU
-- miles
JUN 11
CLOSE GAME
58% TOR
--
JUN 12
CLOSE GAME
57% TOR
--
JUN 13
CLOSE GAME
45% TOR
--
JUN 14
LIKELY LOSS
33% BOS
--
JUN 15
LIKELY LOSS
34% BOS
--
JUN 16
LIKELY LOSS
37% BOS
--
JUN 17
LIKELY LOSS
21% @OAK
2443 miles
JUN 18
LIKELY LOSS
29% @OAK
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 3-7 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 26.3%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Royals by one point. With a -1.2 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Orioles are the 10th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Orioles are playing 14 games, traveling 25404 miles crossing 30 time zones. They rank #4 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Baltimore Orioles' next game. They are +190 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 19-44 Orioles 'should have' 23 wins. They have 19 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 18 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have come up especially short at home. Their 8-23- home record is -14% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 57.8% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations where the Orioles played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 33.7% of the time (#29 in the league). Their peak sim% was 37.6% back on 4/17.

Their average run differential is -1.95 which ranks #15 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -1.08 (#12 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Orioles were projected for 55.7 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/24 they had a 52.5% chance before increasing to 60.9% on 4/16. Their current chances are at 55.6%.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #14 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 55% #1 Toughest

Orioles' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
57 Alberto, Hanser 2B5-1117010/17/19924No College
43 Armstrong, Shawn RP6-222509/11/19905East Carolina
48 Bleier, Richard RP6-321504/16/19874No College
9 Broxton, Keon LF6-419805/07/19905No College
37 Bundy, Dylan SP6-122511/15/19925No College
54 Cashner, Andrew SP6-523509/11/198610TCU
50 Castro, Miguel RP6-720512/24/19945No College
19 Davis, Chris 1B6-324503/17/198612No College
51 Fry, Paul RP6-020507/26/19922No College
60 Givens, Mychal RP6-023005/13/19905No College
41 Hess, David SP6-121007/10/19932No College
52 Kline, Branden RP6-321009/29/19911Virginia
70 Lucas, Josh RP6-521011/05/19903No College
16 Mancini, Trey RF6-423003/18/19924Notre Dame
1 Martin, Richie SS5-1119012/22/19941Florida
67 Means, John SP6-323004/24/19932West Virginia
39 Nunez, Renato DH6-122004/04/19944No College
58 Phillips, Evan RP6-221509/11/19942No College
14 Ruiz, Rio 3B6-121505/22/19944No College
25 Santander, Anthony RF6-222510/19/19943No College
28 Severino, Pedro C6-121907/20/19935No College
15 Sisco, Chance C6-219502/24/19953No College
53 Straily, Dan SP6-122012/01/19888Marshall
2 Villar, Jonathan 2B6-121505/02/19917No College
12 Wilkerson, Stevie CF6-119501/11/19922Clemson
64 Ynoa, Gabriel RP6-222005/26/19933No College
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