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Atlanta
Braves
Stadium SunTrust Park
33-29 Overall | NL EAST 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Braves.257308864.36
Schedule
Regular season
Fri? 6/21
@
Nationals
7:05pm
Sat? 6/22
@
Nationals
FOX7:15pm
Sun? 6/23
@
Nationals
1:35pm
Mon? 6/24
@
Cubs
8:05pm
Tue? 6/25
@
Cubs
8:05pm
Wed? 6/26
@
Cubs
8:05pm
Thu? 6/27
@
Cubs
2:20pm
Fri? 6/28
@
Mets
7:10pm
Sat? 6/29
@
Mets
4:10pm
Sun? 6/30
@
Mets
ESPN7:08pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 10 games is very good. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 6
CLOSE GAME
54% @PIT
523 miles
JUN 7
CLOSE GAME
56% @MIA
1015 miles
JUN 8
CLOSE GAME
58% @MIA
-- miles
JUN 9
CLOSE GAME
51% @MIA
-- miles
JUN 10
LIKELY WIN
67% PIT
605 miles
JUN 11
LIKELY WIN
64% PIT
--
JUN 12
LIKELY WIN
86% PIT
--
JUN 13
LIKELY WIN
62% PIT
--
JUN 14
CLOSE GAME
48% PHI
--
JUN 15
CLOSE GAME
55% PHI
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 16.6%. At #5 in the league, they are behind the Brewers by half a point. With a +0.56 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Rockies by 1.5 points. With a +1.2 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Braves are the 20th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Braves are playing 14 games, traveling 4153 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #30 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Atlanta Braves' next game. They are -132 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 33-28 the Braves are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 32.2 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 18 good wins vs 17 bad losses. They have won 57% of their road games and were expected to win 49%. At home they have a 52% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 56%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (12-7, 63%) is better than their expected 55% win percentage. The Braves should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#15 in the league). Their peak rank was #11 in the league back on 4/22.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.2 which ranks #7 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #9 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -0.27.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Braves are contenders to win the NL, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 3.3% chance of making the World Series. On 4/10 they had a 4.8% chance before dropping to 1.3% on 5/10. Their current chances are at 3.2%. They have a 29% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 45% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have an 11.1% chance of winning the NL (8/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they win the World Series 0.9% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #10 Easiest

Braves' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Acuna, Ronald LF6-018012/18/19972No College
1 Albies, Ozzie 2B5-816501/07/19973No College
50 Blevins, Jerry RP6-619009/06/198313No College
17 Camargo, Johan 3B6-019512/13/19933No College
8 Culberson, Charlie LF6-120004/10/19897No College
20 Donaldson, Josh 3B6-121012/08/19859Auburn
25 Flowers, Tyler C6-426001/24/198611No College
26 Foltynewicz, Mike SP6-420010/07/19916No College
5 Freeman, Freddie 1B6-522009/12/198910No College
54 Fried, Max SP6-419001/18/19943No College
45 Gausman, Kevin SP6-320001/06/19917LSU
77 Jackson, Luke RP6-221008/24/19915No College
14 Joyce, Matt LF6-220008/03/198412No College
22 Markakis, Nick RF6-121011/17/198314No College
16 McCann, Brian C6-321502/20/198415No College
15 Newcomb, Sean RP6-525506/12/19933No College
27 Riley, Austin LF6-324004/02/19971No College
40 Soroka, Michael SP6-4195No College
7 Swanson, Dansby SS6-119002/11/19944Vanderbilt
38 Swarzak, Anthony RP6-421509/10/198510No College
49 Teheran, Julio SP6-220501/27/19919No College
32 Tomlin, Josh RP6-119010/19/198410Texas Tech
62 Toussaint, Touki RP6-321506/20/19962No College
58 Winkler, Dan RP6-320502/02/19905UCF
泛亚电竞