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Arizona
Diamondbacks
Stadium Chase Field
25-25 Overall | NL WEST 3rd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Diamondbacks.252246694.15
Schedule
Regular season
Tue? 5/21
@
Padres
L2-3
Wed? 5/22
@
Padres
L2-5
Fri? 5/24
@
Giants
10:15pm
Sat? 5/25
@
Giants
FS14:05pm
Sun? 5/26
@
Giants
4:05pm
Mon? 5/27
@
Rockies
3:10pm
Tue? 5/28
@
Rockies
8:40pm
Wed? 5/29
@
Rockies
8:40pm
Thu? 5/30
@
Rockies
3:10pm
Fri? 5/31
vs
Mets
9:40pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The D-Backs next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 5 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 24
CLOSE GAME
57% @SF
653 miles
MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
55% @SF
-- miles
MAY 26
LIKELY WIN
67% @SF
-- miles
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
55% @COL
947 miles
MAY 28
CLOSE GAME
51% @COL
-- miles
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
51% @COL
-- miles
MAY 30
LIKELY LOSS
32% @COL
-- miles
MAY 31
LIKELY WIN
63% NYM
587 miles
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
56% NYM
--
JUN 2
CLOSE GAME
56% NYM
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 24.3%. At #9 in the league, they are behind the Cardinals by half a point. With a +0.88 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Mets by half a point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Mets. There is only a 0.47 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the D-Backs are the 12th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the D-Backs are playing 14 games, traveling 9849 miles crossing 11 time zones. They rank #16 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Arizona Diamondbacks' next game. They are -125 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 25-25 the D-Backs are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 23.8 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 18 good wins vs 8 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 14-12- road record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Losers of 5 in a row they have a 19.4% chance of seeing that extend to 7 straight, but they also have a 21% chance of turning things around and winning their next 3 games. The D-Backs should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.8% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#12 in the league). They have moved up from #18 in the league back on 3/27.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.46 which ranks #5 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.42 which ranks them #6 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The D-Backs are contenders to win the NL, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1% chance of making the World Series. On 3/29 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 7.8% on 5/6. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 2.1%. Before the start of their 5 game losing streak they were at 3.7%. They have a 1.4% chance of winning their division. They are not projected to finish in the Top 8 (#9 in the conference) and only have a 33% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 6.2% chance of winning the NL (15/1) and a 3.2% chance of winning it all (30/1). In simulations they win the World Series 0.8% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #11 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 54% #2 Toughest

D-Backs' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Ahmed, Nick SS6-219503/15/19906Connecticut
35 Andriese, Matt RP6-222508/28/19895No College
31 Avila, Alex C5-1121001/29/198711Alabama
25 Bradley, Archie RP6-422508/10/19925No College
40 Chafin, Andrew RP6-222506/17/19906Kent State
32 Cron, Kevin 1B6-524502/17/19930TCU
1 Dyson, Jarrod CF5-1016508/15/198410No College
5 Escobar, Eduardo 3B5-1018501/05/19899No College
52 Godley, Zack SP6-324004/21/19905Tennessee
21 Greinke, Zack SP6-220010/21/198316No College
66 Hirano, Yoshihisa RP6-118503/08/19842No College
56 Holland, Greg RP5-1021511/20/19859No College
10 Jones, Adam RF6-221508/01/198514No College
18 Kelly, Carson C6-222007/14/19944No College
29 Kelly, Merrill SP6-219010/14/19881Arizona State
16 Locastro, Tim CF6-120007/14/19923No College
50 Lopez, Yoan RP6-318501/02/19932No College
4 Marte, Ketel CF6-116510/12/19935No College
30 McFarland, T.J. RP6-322006/08/19897No College
36 Murphy, John Ryan C5-1120505/13/19917No College
38 Ray, Robbie SP6-219510/01/19916No College
19 Swihart, Blake RF6-120004/03/19925No College
15 Vargas, Ildemaro 3B6-017007/16/19913No College
53 Walker, Christian 1B6-022003/28/19915South Carolina
24 Weaver, Luke SP6-217008/21/19934Florida State
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